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TIFFANY HSU
The biggest shopping day in China is fast approaching, and American companies are treading carefully.
Nov. 11, known as Singles Day or Double-11, started as an anti-Valentine’s Day celebration before the Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group converted it into an annual shopping spectacle that generates billions of dollars in sales. This year, Taylor Swift will help kick off the proceedings by performing at a gala in Shanghai. Some 22,000 international merchants are expected to offer discounts and other deals, mostly online, without the overnight lines and doorbuster bargains associated with Black Friday in the United States.
But American companies have seemed unsure of how to approach China’s $90 billion ad market, believed to be the second-largest in the world. The trade dispute with the United States has led some Chinese consumers to spurn American brands, and tensions over how companies have addressed pro-democracy demonstrations in Hong Kong have further complicated the economic back-and-forth.
Even before the disquiet, Chinese companies had overtaken many American rivals in spending on ads. In 2015, half the top 10 marketers in China were Western brands, with Procter & Gamble in first place, according to data from Magna, a media intelligence firm. Last year, three remained on the list, led by Coca-Cola in fifth place.
“Western brands have been scaling back their spending,” said Luke Stillman, Magna’s senior vice president of digital intelligence.
If the trade war weakens China’s currency and makes American products less affordable, those brands could cut the amount they spend on marketing further, Brian Wieser, who analyzes media for GroupM, wrote in a blog post in August.
American companies, facing increasing pressure in the United States to take a stand on social issues, have lately stayed away from any whiff of the political in ads that appear in China.
“They definitely talk about being conservative, and they try to double-check things over and over again,” said Ker Zheng, a marketing and partnerships manager at Azoya Group, which helps companies enter the Chinese e-commerce market. “Chinese people in general are very averse to talking about politics, and if they do, it’s in very hushed tones.”
A few days before Singles Day, advertisements on the Alibaba-owned Tmall shopping platform from companies like Dell, Nike and Procter & Gamble were more functional than flashy, focused largely on discounts. The Chinese government let companies and advertising partners know that they were being watched by issuing a notice this month warning against misleading marketing for the shopping event.
Last year, American companies such as Apple, Nike and Adidas generated more than $14 million apiece in Singles Day sales. But for many Chinese shoppers, President Trump’s bellicose talk on trade has damaged perceptions of American brands, according to research from the New York chapter of the American Marketing Association.
Chinese consumers also reacted with disapproval last month to what they saw as signs of support for the Hong Kong protesters from American businesses including Apple, the National Basketball Association and Tiffany & Company.
In a survey, 78 percent of Chinese respondents said they would reconsider buying American brands on Singles Day. In another survey of Chinese consumers, more than half said they had avoided American products.
“It’s not so much nationalism as it is anti-Americanism,” said David Jones, a former chief executive of the ad giant Havas and the founder of the branding and technology group You & Mr. Jones.